Optimistic
Outlook for The North American Petroleum Wax Business
METUCHEN, NJ February 11, 2003
– According to preliminary finding from Petroleum Trends
International’s multiclient report, Business
Opportunities in the North American Petroleum Wax Market,
2002 to 2007, although demand for wax in North
America has been softened by the recession, the future
looks bright for suppliers that stay in the game.
Petroleum Trends International’s research identifies two
primary reasons for this optimistic outlook. The first is,
“a step change in the manufacturing process employed to
produce lubricant base stocks,” notes Thomas F. Glenn,
President of Petroleum Trends International. This change
directly impacts wax supply since wax is a byproduct of
base stock manufacturing and the new technology does not
produce wax. In addition to declines in wax supply as a
result of new technology, supply in North America has also
been eroded by a number of base stock manufacturing plant
closures. According
to Glenn, “The combined impact of these closures, along
with the shift in manufacturing technology, reduced the
number of primary wax producers in the U.S. to only 7 in
2002, down from 16 in 1995.
This reflects a drop in refinery wax capacity from
29.2 thousand barrels a day (TBD) in 1995 to only 10 TBD
in 2002.”
The second reason for Petroleum Trends’ optimistic
outlook is growth in demand. While wax supply in the US is
on decline, domestic demand continues to build, notes
Glenn. As an example, Petroleum Trends’ research shows
that demand for wax by the candle industry reached an
estimated 725 million pounds in 2001, up from 445 million
pounds in 1995. This represents an average annual increase
of 8.5% and particularly remarkable growth considering the
significant increase in finished candle imports during
this period. Demand for wax in board sizing, hot-melt
adhesives, and other end-use applications has also posted
growth over the last five years.
Although these and other wax markets have been hurt
somewhat by the recession, an economic recovery, along
with a continuing shift in base stock manufacturing
technology will certainly favor domestic wax suppliers who
stay in the game. In addition, the supply-demand imbalance
draws the attention of foreign suppliers to the US market.
“Over the past 5 years, for example, imports of Chinese
wax to the U.S. market has grown from 15% to 47%,” notes
Glenn.
For more information on the report, or to subscribe
to Business Opportunities in the North American
Petroleum Wax Market, 2002 to 2007, please visit
www.petrotrends.com
or
contact Petroleum Trends International at 732-494-0405.
Petroleum
Trends International, Inc. is a strategic planning and
market research consulting firm based in Metuchen, New
Jersey. The firm specializes in market research and
consulting in lubricants, base stocks, waxes, additives,
and fuels and other petroleum products.
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